Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. Palmer/Scheffler (5.4 percent). Schauffele (19-1), Zalatoris (19-1) and Tom Kim (20-1) also are top choices, while Si Woo Kim is priced at 29-1 at Caesars. Caddie: Brendon Todd (+100) over Seamus Power (Bet365) Todd, a former winner here, has been playing some spectacular golf this Fall. The pro-am event, once known as the Bob Hope Desert Classic, has an average winning score of 24 under par over the past 10 years. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Thomas Detry (40-1, DraftKings) Detry will be coming into this event brimming with confidence after his runner-up finish last week. There are more questions than answers coming from the Thomas camp right now. We run 1000s simulations for every PGA Tour event to predict the most likely outcomes and find value against the sportsbooks. Corey Conners ($7,800 DraftKings | $9,500 FanDuel). , I've always been fascinated by the design of Bay Hill, Arnold Palmer's home course for over 45 years (although Tiger Woods owns it, competitively-speaking, as he's won there eight times.) Yes, hes first in SG/total. How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. Morikawa is going to contend often this season with this stat profile. 1 ranking to Rory McIlroy, but he has not really been himself since Sunday at East Lake. I was excited to see Englishs T-12 last week at Riviera until I saw the 8.8 strokes he gained puttingthe best putting performance of his career, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Gdula also co-hosts the DFS Heat Check podcast. Lee (DraftKings) There are exciting things happening with Days game right now, primarily his significant improvement on approach shots. Si Woo Kim, fresh off his Sony Open victory last week, also will compete, alongside the likes of Xander Schauffele, Will Zalatoris and Tom Kim. McNealys longer than he is accurate, and the irons arent particularly great. There is trouble lurking off nearly every tee shot, and youll certainly see a few big numbers this week. Hes been quiet of late but he still connected for a T11 at PGA West, and we can count on him to find fairways at Bay Hill. Torrey Pines South 5. WebPGA Tour betting predictions, tips, analysis and best picks surrounding PGA Tour events, including outright, PGA Tour prop bets and much more. He missed the cut in both Phoenix and Los Angeles, struggling to put all four facets of the game together. Released Monday night/Tuesday Morning. But hes certainly gaining on it, with three top-25 finishes in his last seven starts on tour. managing editor: Tony Finau (18-1, BetMGM) Nobody has been better over the past 24 rounds than Finau, whos third in SG/approach, sixth in SG/off the tee and 12th in putting. The uncommon paspalum greens could level the playing field for him as a putter, and that could boost him up big time. Play with trusted, licensed operators. How about two idiots talking PGA Tour, golf betting, and everything in-between? Set a budget. 1, who has gone eighth-11th in his last two starts, seemingly out of nowhere. Caves Valley Golf Club, 2. Course Fit ( compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes such as driving distance to predict who performs well at each course DataGolf): 1. Powers, Golf Digest: Thomas Detry (-110) over Seamus Power (DraftKings) Not sure going against last weeks winner in a matchup has ever worked out in my favor, but I feel good about this one. Montgomerys putter has cooled off, and hes been exposed a bit in the elevated events. Aaron Rai ($7,700 DraftKings | $9,500 FanDuel). At the 2022 Masters, McClure's model was all over Scottie Scheffler's first career major championship victory heading into the weekend. He got his first career victory less than a month later and finished the season with four. He gained strokes across the board and has shown significant improvements with the putter in recent months. While encouraging, that has been his best finish since his win at the BMW PGA Championship10 starts ago. With winds projected to gust, a couple of confident sharpshooters will surprise despite the length of the track. The next biggest story to watch is Viktor Hovland's quest for a three-peat in this event, something that has not been done on the PGA Tour since Steve Stricker won three consecutive John Deere Classics between 2009 and 2011. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Following the first round of the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Pierceson Coody is in 82nd position with a score of +2.In the Sports Scores and Odds Hub The 2023 Genesis Invitational. hes lined up to tackle a brutish backdrop, he demands our attention. With winds projected to gust, a couple of confident sharpshooters will surprise despite the length of the track. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, expert picks to win Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Okay, I admit that it reminds me of the sixth at Hazeltine National, another Trent Jones product, but I don't think Wilson picked Trent's pocket on this one, as both courses were built about the same time, in the early 1960s. Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks: Expert picks, best bets for 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA DFS Targets: Is Rory McIlroy Too Chalky? You can see the rest of McClure's Arnold Palmer Invitational prop bet picks at SportsLine. (Photo by Katharine Lotze/Getty Images). Hes riskier than some of his similarly priced peers, but the upside is undeniable. Over the past 100 rounds, hes the fourth-best tee-to-green player in the field, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. 2023 Genesis Invitational Golf DFS Fades & Pivots: Whats Wrong With Tom Kim? World No. He just missed a massive 130-1 score last week when Hayden Buckley finished second at the Sony Open. Aaron Baddeley Its not easy to get into the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard while navigating a season on Past Champion status, and hes in on merit to boot. Sungjae Im ($10,700 DraftKings | $11,900 FanDuel). He also was among the turnarounds at the Honda a T29, easily his best effort in five starts in 2023. He also ranked second in birdie average (4.6 per round) and fourth in scoring average (69.3). The final round will be played on PGA West's Stadium Course after a 54-hole cut. Hes gained strokes on approach in seven straight starts, something he hasnt done since the fall of 2017 when he was ranked inside the top 10 in the world. He shot better than 71 once in the six rounds. The model also included J.T. ): 1. 13 in the , he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for Tom Kim ($8,400 DraftKings | $9,800 FanDuel). Scottie Scheffler could be among the top daily Fantasy golf picks this week for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Learn the game and know the odds. If he can just make a few putts, which is conceivable on the slow, paspalum greens, his irons and accuracy should have him hoisting a novelty check. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns. Now he heads back to Bay Hill, where he has dominated in his careerhe has gained a staggering 74.68 strokes to the field across eight starts, or just over 9.3 strokes per event, which includes a win in 2018 and six other top-15s. Im not really understanding why Henleys priced up here just below the elites. Detry certainly seems to be building toward something big. His stat profile is full of inconsistency, and his inaccuracy off-the-tee could lead to big numbers in Florida this week. Stars are everywhere on the leaderboard heading into the weekend at Bay Hill. So what 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational prop picks should you target this week? Powers, Golf Digest: Austin Smotherman (200-1, BetMGM) Short knockers who can pure their irons usually fare well here, and thats exactly what Smotherman is. Were back with another edition of PGA Davis Riley Its like a rite of passage across the United States. Ryan Palmer has a new partner this time around after playing with Jon Rahm for the past few seasons (and Jordan Spieth before him). It should be a birdie-fest this week when several of the world's top golfers descend on La Quinta, Calif. for the PGA Tour's 2023 American Express. Golf And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! Hes getting by with the putter, and thats likely not enough this week against a top-heavy field. Lee Alldrick of FanShare Sports started out writing an article highlighting the best bargain plays for fantasy golf under his twitter handle @DKGolfBargains. Hes also got decent history at Mayakoba, having finished T-3 here two years ago. Golf Predictions. On the odds board in Vegas, Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy top the list of favorites, followed by Justin Thomas, Patrick Cantlay and Sam Burns. But we arent making one pick. Were making three. The future of golf betting? Heres what the PGA Tour thinks it will look like The game were playing is on Chirp, a free-to-play mobile game. Since his emergence on the scene last summer, there is no golfer in this field gaining as many strokes on approach (0.75 per round) in as many rounds (67) as Kim. Bermuda: Denny McCarthy. Hes been good not great, but we are being asked to pay for greatness at this price tag. Hes played this event once, finishing T-49 in 2015. Another team with great chemistry. Before locking in any Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks of your own,be sure to check out the PGA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine golf expert Mike McClure. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be Hes had the best short game of anyone in this field over the past 50 rounds, so that should no longer be a concern. Visit SportsLine to see McClure's 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational best bets, all from the expert who's up over $9,600 since the PGA Tour restart, and find out. picks He nailed the Houston Open, backing Tony Finau to win at 25-1, and is up almost seven units on his plays overall, a profit of nearly $700 for $100 bettors. Poston +5000Sahith Theegala +5000Adam Hadwin +5000Andrew Putnam +5500K.H. Hovland on the other hand comes into this event looking to complete the hat trick of wins here in the space of three years. Oh, and a lot of laughs along the way. See the full Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here. Its a stat line that is full of red flags. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Honda Classic DFS picks 2023: Play this breakout star at PGA National, Max Homa, fighting back tears, says he will win again at Riviera, LIV Golf announces teams, players for 2023; Four PGA Tour players, Pieters officially join league, These are the questions you should be asking yourself before buying new clubs, Brian Urlacher on his proud moment in the WMPO pro-am, an unlikely eagle at Augusta National and making his first ace on a par 4 (! Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. The Chicagoland native has been playing fantasy golf since 1994, so he was just waiting for the Internet to catch up with him. As a U.K.-based expert, Alldricks insight into European Tour regulars and low priced, low owned plays has provided an invaluable edge for readers when it comes to DFS GPPs. Since 2016, hes 6-for-6 in the API with a T10 in 2019. I worry about him losing five strokes on the putting surfaces, but his clubhead speed and newfound confidence can be a difference-maker this week. F1 DFS is BACK! Powers, Golf Digest: Davis Riley (+650, DraftKings) Riley has fallen out of favor with the gambling community of late thanks to some so-so results, but his irons have still been cooking. Gehman: Brian Harman (35-1, DraftKings) Harman is one of the most fascinating players in this field. Collin Morikawa ($9,500 DraftKings | $11,400 FanDuel). He added another 2.10 around-the-green and still lost 1.16 strokes from tee-to-green. Zozo: Sungjae Im. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Viktor Hovland (+100) over Scottie Scheffler (Bet365) As you can see above I dont fancy Schefflers chances this week. Back the 2017 Open Championship winner to triumph at +3000 with Caesars Sportsbook. Hes played well at Bay Hill the last two years, but he was in much better lead-in form. Expect regression in that category against a much deeper field. Thats a sour combination most weeks, but its especially true here at PGA National, which will require putting and precision. Top-10 results from the Bermuda Championship: Gehman: 1 for 1 (Thomas Detry +225); Everybody else: 0 for 1, Top-10 results from this season: Hennessey: 1 for 6 (up 2 units); Mayo: 1 for 5 (up 0 units); Gdula: 1 for 6 (down 0.1 units); Caddie: 1 for 6 (down 0.5 units); Alldrick: 1 for 6 (down 1 unit); Gehman: 1 for 6 (down 2.75 units); Powers: 0 for 6 (down 6 units), RELATED: A death stare from Tiger, playing Tony Finau for cash and more with Doug Smith.
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